Tom Goodenough comments on the latest YouGov survey:
There’s a nasty shock for the Tories in the Times this morning, with the paper publishing a YouGov poll suggesting the party could lose 20 seats at next week’s election. The estimate says that we could be heading for a hung parliament and that the Conservatives might fall 16 seats short of an overall majority.
It seems hard to believe that the Conservatives could fare that badly in the general election, but they have been conducting what is widely regarded to be one of the worst general election campaigns in decades. Compounding their earlier errors, May has announced that she won’t take part in the party leader debate, which has given Corbyn a perfect opening to participate in the debate while ridiculing her for ducking it.
The Conservatives had almost all the advantages going into this election, but they have run their campaign on the possibly fatal assumption that they couldn’t lose no matter what they did. They will probably still hang on to power, but May will have done real harm to her reputation with multiple reversals in just a few weeks. May has weakened her position at home by calling an election that she and her party weren’t fully prepared to fight, and she might end up sinking her government almost as soon as it began.
Either she’s a bumbling incompetent, or she’s deviously self-sabotaging.
The British political situation is very much analogous to the American one, at present:
In America, the Democrats are in complete disarray, and the Republicans control the House and the Senate and the presidency, yet despite all that, seem mostly politically impotent, unable to get their shit together (whether by accident or design), hell-bent on snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
In Britain, Labour is in complete disarray, with their deeply unpopular hard-left leader Jeremy Corbyn, and shouldn’t be any kind of threat to the Tories, but either through incompetence or malice, as with the GOP, May seems bent on self-destruction.
For that matter, here in Ontario, Canada, we have a deeply unpopular Liberal Premier, but the Ontario Tories have a shitty flip-flopping leader who isn’t in any position to become any kind of threat to the governing Liberals. And federally, while the bloom is off the rose, and Trudeau and the Liberals are no longer seen as unable to do wrong by Canadians, who grow increasingly tired of Prime Minister Selfie and his antics, what do the Tories do? Elect a clone of their last leader, showing they’ve learned nothing from their election loss. (I didn’t particularly like libertarian Mad Max, but at least he would have been something different…)
The game is rigged, throughout the Anglosphere. (And the West in general; witness France and the Netherlands, too…)
Only progs are allowed to enact their agenda; cons are cons, incompetent or self-sabotaging.
The ratchet only turns in one direction.
Bugger it all!
Burn it down.
Put not your trust in princes…